Jack Guttentag Founder, Upfront Mortgage Broker's Association
"Is it not shameful that our financial institutions receive capital
infusions from the government, and instead of lending it out, they hoard it?"
I hear this complaint a lot, and the U.S. government has not done a very good
job of responding to it. My view of government intent is that the capital
infusions were meant to be "hoarded," defining that word to mean adding to the
firm's capital rather than adding to its loans.
A necessary backdrop: The financial crisis began in the home mortgage market,
and then spread like wildfire to engulf the entire financial system. The core
reason for the conflagration was that financial institutions were
"overleveraged" -- meaning that their debt was excessive. They were also
"undercapitalized," which means the same thing.
Consider a financial firm that has $100 billion of earning assets, $90
billion of debt, and $10 billion of capital, which is the difference between its
assets and its debts. The major role of capital is to absorb potential losses on
the assets, some of which will default. A closely related role is to instill
confidence in the firm's creditors, whose concern is always whether or not
capital is sufficient to absorb all losses. If it isn't, the firm may not be
able to repay its creditors.
Let's assume the year is 2000, and the firm's assets consist entirely of home
mortgages. Defaults and losses on the mortgages are very low because home prices
are rising; the firm views its capital as more than adequate; and it sets out to
increase earnings by borrowing more in order to acquire more mortgages. It is
increasing its leverage.
By year-end 2006, the firm has increased its assets and its debts by $200
billion, with no change in its capital. The $10 billion of capital must now
cover losses from $300 billion of mortgages rather than $100 billion.
That would not be a problem if the world didn't change. Indeed, the firm's
expansion was based on just that premise. But the world did change -- home
prices peaked and started to fall in late 2006; the default rate on the firm's
mortgages began to rise; and everything pointed to continued increases in
defaults and to substantial losses. Anticipating that rising losses could
entirely deplete the firm's capital, creditors feared that the firm would not be
able to meet its obligations.
Fast-forward to 2008, when some of the firm's existing obligations came due.
The creditors involved would not extend them, but insisted on being paid. Since
the old creditors wanted out, there was little inducement for potential new
creditors to take their place. Unable to raise new money to pay their debts, the
firm faced bankruptcy, even before all its capital was depleted.
Enter the government, which decided to make a capital investment in the firm.
The purpose of the investment was not to provide the means for the firm to make
more loans, but to avoid the firm's failure and the devastating consequences of
failure for the economy. The investment increased the firm's capital, which
strengthened its ability to meet future losses, and hopefully restored the
confidence of its creditors.
Sometimes such investment decisions by the government have to be made very
quickly, perhaps over a weekend because the firm faces cash needs that it won't
be able to meet when it opens for business on Monday. In other cases, the need
is not imminent but it may arise in the future, probably when some debts come
due. Many if not most financial firms are undercapitalized by the standards of
today's harsh economic environment. A capital infusion from government gives
them a safety margin going forward.
It was reported on Dec. 22 that the Associated Press had asked 21 banks that
have received capital infusions of $1 billion or more from the government to
report exactly what they have done with the money. None gave specific answers,
which has been widely viewed as evasive and shameful. This is an understandable
reaction, but it is misguided.
A bank's sources and uses of funds is like a bathtub with multiple pipes and
drains. If a bathtub has water coming in from pipes A, B C and G (for
"government"), and leaving through outlets W, X, Y and L (for "loans"), the
question of which outlet the water coming in through pipe G emptied into is not
answerable. Even if the tub was rigged so that the G inlet was connected
directly to the L outlet, the allocation of water from the other sources to the
various uses is bound to be affected.
It would be a simple matter, for example, for a bank to allocate 100 percent
of the government's capital to various categories of loans while reducing the
flow of funds from other sources into loans. We should be pleased that none of
the banks have seen fit to play that game.
Besides which, the premise of the AP survey is wrong. The justification for
the capital infusions is that it will increase capital, not loans. The goal is
to avoid future shocks arising from the failure of undercapitalized firms. The
fundamental purpose is to prevent the crisis from getting worse. Other measures
are needed to cure it.
The writer is professor of finance emeritus at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. Comments and questions can be left at www.mtgprofessor.com. Copyright 2009 Jack Guttentag
|
|

| Loan Type |
Interest Rate |
APR |
| 5/1 ARM |
4.625% |
4.737% |
| 7/1 ARM |
5.250% |
5.366% |
| 15-yr Fixed |
4.500% |
4.694% |
| 30-yr Fixed |
4.875% |
4.988% |
Rates are current as of 2-4-09, and are based upon a conforming loan amount, 740+ credit, full documentation, and
a loan-to-value of 80% or less.
Click here for a custom rate quote
|
Christopher Cruise
Senior Loan Officer, Author, and Trainer,
GOTeHomeLoans
Welcome to a refi boom! This is the seventh refi boom I've experienced since
entering the mortgage loan business over twenty years ago. However, this one is different from the others in a number of ways.
The first peculiarity about this refi boom is that it
caught the industry off-guard. Mortgage brokers spent 2008 either closing down
or laying off much of their staff. Lenders, too, laid off staff – as much as
50-70%, including underwriters. Entire operations divisions were closed, and
many lenders simply went out of business. First it was small, sub-prime shops,
but it quickly escalated to larger lenders like Lehman Brothers and Indymac
Bank. So, by December 2008 there were few brokers and few lenders, and few
underwriters in the employ of those lenders. The result: a real skeleton crew.
And then the tsunami hit. First, thirty-year fixed-rates
hit the magic 5.25% mark that borrowers had been waiting on for over a year, and
shortly after, rates fell below 5%. Ever try drinking from a fire hydrant, or
running a 100-yard dash the moment you wake up in the morning? Yeah, it was like
that. Suddenly, brokers were flooded
with phone calls, and began sending massive numbers of loan applications to
lenders who had just a few underwriters left on staff.
To add to this, after January 5th the new Fannie
Mae appraisal guidelines hit. These guidelines required that appraisals be
ordered from national appraisal companies (as opposed to directly from local
appraisers), and be subject to an independent Quality Assurance review. The
result? Much longer turn-times.
Many local appraisers, anticipating the new Fannie Mae
guidelines, went out of business before Jan 5th or teamed up with a
national appraisal vendor. The result? The appraisal industry was significantly
understaffed when the tsunami hit.
What this all adds up to is long turn-times. Whereas
borrowers, brokers, and lenders have been accustomed to three to four week
closing times, now it can take as much as two months.
Further, lenders are now really cracking down on rate
shoppers who “double-app” (ie submit multiple loan applications to different
lenders). Many mortgage loan shoppers don’t appreciate this, but when a rate is
locked a contract is created in the form of a promissory note, and immediately
following formation of that contract, the lender has begun placing that note
(i.e. “I agree to pay lender 5.00% on a $400,000 loan for 30 yrs) into its pool
of other notes. That pool of notes is immediately being negotiated for sale with
large investors. So, when a borrower locks a rate and then goes somewhere else,
it’s much like ordering a dinner at a fine restaurant, then deciding you don’t
want it when it comes to your table.
As part of this crack down on “double apping”, lenders are
requiring complete loan packages be delivered within about two weeks of the rate
lock, or the lock is cancelled. This means title work, appraisal, and borrowers’
W2s, bank statements, and paystubs must all be submitted. Further, the onus is
on the broker; if the locked loan does not close, the lender threatens to
terminate the broker relationship – that is, the broker will not be allowed to
use that lender. Thus there is much more required of the borrower these days
before a rate can be locked.
So, friends, we are in a much different world than we were
just a few months ago. Turn times are three times longer, and application
packages must be much more complete than before at time of rate lock. In past
refi booms we could order an appraisal and lock a rate without an application or
supporting documents, and sometimes without even a property address! Those days
are long gone.
What does this mean for you? Well, if you’re considering
refinancing at some point in the next 90 days, start the process
now to get all your ducks in a row.
Submit a complete application and supporting documents so the file can be
underwritten and the appraisal and title search ordered. Once the credit and
collateral (appraisal) packages are underwritten and approved you can just sit
and wait until the rate gets to where you want it to be, then lock it in and
close in a few days. If you wait to apply until rates drop, it may take you a
couple of days to gather all the information you need to lock the rate (and in
the meantime, rates may have increased). Additionally, if you wait, you may not
be able to reach anyone when you’re ready to lock; if rates drop back down to
4.5% most mortgage brokers and lenders will be completely swamped (many already
are), and will not be able to answer their phones, let alone quote you rates and
closing costs and take an application and get the file underwritten and order an
appraisal and lock the rate.
I hope this has helped. I’m not trying to pressure you, but
I feel that I have an obligation to give you my perspective on what is happening
in this never-before-seen market.
Christopher Cruise is a Senior Loan Officer with GOTeHomeLoans, as well as author of various mortgage manuals.
He currently serves on the Board for the National Association of Responsible Loan Officers.
Copyright 2009 Christopher Cruise
|
Dian Hymer Realtor, Author
Remodeling Magazine's
2008-2009 Cost vs. Value Report, produced each year in conjunction with
Realtor Magazine, contains good news about the value of remodeling projects.
The recent Cost vs. Value Report showed that renovations on a nationwide
basis held their value better than home prices did in 2008. According to the
National Association of Realtors (NAR), home prices declined 7 percent in 2008,
while the value of homeowners' investments in remodeling dropped only 2.8
percent in 2008.
During slow real estate cycles, many would-be sellers postpone their move and
remodel instead. This makes sense as long as the projects are selected carefully
for maximum return on the investment. It's important to avoid renovations that
would overimprove the property for the neighborhood.
One benefit of remodeling sooner rather than just before selling is that the
homeowner is able to enjoy the improvements before moving on. All too often,
sellers wait until right before they put their home on the market to enhance its
appeal.
HOUSE HUNTING TIP: Remodeling, if done smartly, can result in a quicker sale
and less negotiation with buyers over perceived shortcomings. Painting the house
and updating the kitchen, baths, lighting fixtures and floor coverings are
examples of improvements that can improve the sale price.
In today's slow economy, there are more contractors looking for work in some
areas. And, in some cases, their prices have come down. This positively impacts
the return on investment when the home is sold.
Recently, an Oakland, Calif., homeowner received a bid of under $20,000 for a
midrange kitchen remodel. Four years ago, he received a $45,000 bid for the same
work, but decided against going ahead with the project because of the cost. Now
that he's ready to sell, he's planning to do the midrange kitchen remodel to
enhance the salability of his home.
The amount of return from a remodel investment that is recouped when the
property is sold varies significantly from one place to the next and from
project to project. For example, nationally, 70.7 percent of the cost of a major
kitchen remodel was recouped at sale.
In the Pacific region (Alaska, California, Hawaii, Oregon and Washington), a
major kitchen remodel returned 95.5 percent. In San Francisco, a major kitchen
remodel returned 131.5 percent of the investment at sale. Despite higher labor
and material costs, The Pacific Coast average cost recouped at sale was 14.8
percent higher than in the rest of the country.
Smaller cities such as Jackson, Miss., and Billings, Mont., had high rates of
recovery due to lower labor and material costs.
Nationally, exterior improvements generated the biggest payback on average. A
midrange deck returned 80.8 percent. Upscale fiber cement siding returned 86.7
percent. A midrange minor kitchen remodel returned 79.5 percent. And upscale
vinyl windows returned 79.2 percent. These projects increase curb appeal -- an
important selling feature for most homebuyers.
The data used to generate the Cost vs. Value Report was obtained from surveys
sent to more than 150,000 appraisers, real estate agents and brokers in July and
August 2008. The cost data was obtained from HomeTech Information Systems, a
remodeling estimating software company. The confidence level of the results is
99 percent, plus or minus 2 percent, according to NAR.
Homeowners who are concerned about the resale value of their home should
first consult contractors to obtain estimates. Then consult with an experienced
local real estate agent for input on the estimated cost recovery of the
anticipated improvements before moving forward.
THE CLOSING: Sellers often spend too much on improvements, or make
improvements that don't add value at sale. Some improvements can actually
decrease value if they are so specialized that they don't have broad-based
appeal.
Dian Hymer a nationally syndicated real estate columnist and author of "House Hunting, The Take-Along Workbook for Home Buyers" and "Starting Out, The Complete Home Buyer's Guide," Chronicle Books. Copyright 2009 Dian Hymer
|
Paul Bianchina Contractor, Author
Warranties are something we see on a myriad of home improvement products,
from roofing and siding to faucets and electrical outlets. They're intended
to give the consumer some specific legal recourse should the product fail to
perform properly, as well as some general psychological peace of mind.
But how valuable are warranties? Do they cover what you think they do,
and can you rely on them to really protect your financial investment in the
event of a problem? The truth is: probably not as much as you'd hoped.
READ, READ, READ
The first thing you need to do with any warranty is to request and read a
copy of it before you make your purchase. Some warranties are very simple
and straightforward, and others are lengthy, convoluted and fraught with
legalese. Nevertheless, you need to read it to the best of your ability.
One of the first things you will notice about virtually any warranty is
that it is tied to very specific steps that must be followed by the person
installing the product, whether it's you or someone you hire. Failure to
follow the steps exactly will typically result in the warranty being void,
and this is a common pitfall that many homeowners -- indeed, many
contractors -- fail to take seriously enough.
A careful examination of the warranties offered by many building material
manufacturers will turn up language that states, in one form or another,
that the warranty applies only to structures on which the product has been
installed, finished and maintained in accordance with the manufacturer's
specific instructions, and that deviation from those installation, finishing
and maintenance instructions will render the warranty null and void.
Some of the things you need to be very aware of that can void a warranty
include:
- Inadequate protection during storage, which includes how the product
is protected from ground moisture, dirt and dust, weather, impact, and
other specifics.
- Improper spacing. This would apply to products such as siding or
shingles, where you have left gaps that are consistently too large or
too small.
- Improper fastening, which includes the gauge, length and style of
the fasteners you use, the depth of their penetration into the wood, the
spacing between the fasteners, and even the amount of air pressure used
with air-driven fasteners.
- Finishing. In the case of siding and some other materials, it must
be finished (painted, stained or otherwise protected from the elements)
within a certain time frame, using approved materials and approved
application methods.
- Maintenance. Many products also tell you what steps you need to take
to maintain them properly, and failure to follow those steps can also
void the warranty.
WHAT DO WARRANTIES COVER?
What a specific warranty covers varies from manufacturer to manufacturer,
and can even vary within the product lines offered by the same manufacturer.
Some of the more important things to be aware of are:
- What is the term of the warranty? Some warranties last only 30 or 60
days, while others are for the expected life of the product, which might
be 50 years or more.
- Is there depreciation? Longer-term warranties, such as those on
roofing, are typically depreciated based on the product's expected life
span. For example, if you have a composition shingle with a 30-year
warranty and it fails after 15 years on the roof, it's common that the
replacement value will be depreciated by 50 percent.
- Does it cover labor? Many warranties will cover the cost of the
product itself, but not the cost of the labor to remove and dispose of
the failed material and install the replacement. Some will cover removal
but not replacement, or vice versa.
- What steps are required? If that new faucet fails as soon as you
install it, can you take it back to the store for an immediate
replacement, or does the manufacturer insist that it be sent back to
their facility for possible repair?
With any warranty, do your homework. Obtain and read a copy, and if you
have questions about it you need to discuss it with your dealer or your
contractor. If they are vague or unsure about answering your questions, ask
for the phone number of the manufacturer, and call them directly.
Remodeling and repair questions? E-mail Paul at paul2887@ykwc.net.
Copyright 2009 Inman News
|
|